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lachef
Level 3 Male
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 53 yrs old
Marina Del Rey, LA, CA
Registered Sep 18 2007
Released Mar 20 2008

368 blogs/1945 comments
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Apr 14 2020 11:58PM
     Mortality Rates
All this talk about infection and mortality rates. Big numbers to some, insignificant to others.
1% mortality or .01% mortality. I don't know if it matters.

If 1 in 100 airplanes crashed, would you fly?

1,500 airplanes take off and land at LAX daily (or they did before the virus). If a plane crashed each day (outbound or inbound) from LAX, would you fly? 1% would equal 15 plane crashes per day while .01% would be 1.5 crashes each day. Does the distinction make a difference to you in your travel habits?

Would you fly if one plane per day crashed somewhere in the United States (about 30,000 passenger flights per day).

Would you fly if one commercial airline crashed in the U.S. every month? Your odds of dying in a plane crash would only be .000011% (or 1:900,000) given this volume of flights.





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