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lachef
Marina Del Rey, LA, CA
368 blogs/1945 comments
since Sep 18 2007

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Mortality Rates
Apr 14 2020 11:58PM more by lachef
Tags: Random

All this talk about infection and mortality rates. Big numbers to some, insignificant to others.
1% mortality or .01% mortality. I don't know if it matters.

If 1 in 100 airplanes crashed, would you fly?

1,500 airplanes take off and land at LAX daily (or they did before the virus). If a plane crashed each day (outbound or inbound) from LAX, would you fly? 1% would equal 15 plane crashes per day while .01% would be 1.5 crashes each day. Does the distinction make a difference to you in your travel habits?

Would you fly if one plane per day crashed somewhere in the United States (about 30,000 passenger flights per day).

Would you fly if one commercial airline crashed in the U.S. every month? Your odds of dying in a plane crash would only be .000011% (or 1:900,000) given this volume of flights.



      
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MartinBlank
Rancho Palos Verdes, Coastal, LA, CA
274 blogs/7932 comments
since Jan 11 2016

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Apr 24 2020 09:38PM     link to this

Too much math
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